3
Kala Conti
6yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 146
Down Royal · Racing Post Chase (Grade 2) · 2m 3f 100y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | Jack Kennedy | 1 | −1 | ||
| 2026-01-31 | Sandown | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Cork | Jack Kennedy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Fairyhouse | Jordan Gainford | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-11 | Cheltenham | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 02/11/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/11/2024 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 29/12/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 11/03/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 21/04/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |