1
Koktail Divin
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 151
Down Royal · Racing Post Chase (Grade 2) · 2m 3f 100y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Aintree | Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cheltenham | Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Leopardstown | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Down Royal | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Aintree | Rachael Blackmore | 1 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 25/01/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 03/03/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/04/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 63% | +0.07 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |