6
Stretchemout
6yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 91
Down Royal · Racing Post Chase (Grade 2) · 2m 3f 100y
#7
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 14.9 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -8.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | Darragh O'Keeffe | BHA94 | −9 | ||
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | Peter Smithers | BHA94 | 14th | 25th | −9 |
| 2025-11-12 | Ayr | Jordan Gainford | 4 | −4 | ||
| 2025-11-01 | Down Royal | Sam Ewing | BHA98 | 7th | 18th | −9 |
| 2025-10-10 | Downpatrick | Jack Kennedy | BHA99 | 4th | 15th | −10 |
| 2025-10-01 | Sligo | Jack Kennedy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/03/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 30/03/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 13/04/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 19/09/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 02/07/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |