11
Back In Favour
5yo Mare · 11-7
Down Royal · SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m 190y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Punchestown | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Listowel | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-16 · tight 20/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -19.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 53% | +0.11 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 13/10/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 15% | -0.53 |