16

Cantgetaway

4yo Filly · 11-6

Down Royal · SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m 190y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

A cheap purchase given pedigree and offered little at Punchestown on recent debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 13/10/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 2m46y Gd 16413/10C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13PunchestownMr N McParlan?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength12%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/202611th40/10%23%+0.23