2

Mega Shoc

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Down Royal · SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m 190y

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered little when sixth of 11 in 2½m bumper at Listowel (good to soft) on last month's debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 23/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 16823/09C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23ListowelMr E P O'Brien?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength25%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20266th80/10%50%+0.50