15

Rarely Miss Taken

5yo Mare · 11-7

Down Royal · SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m 190y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-bred Poet's Word mare but went with no encouragement at Kilbeggan on debut in May. Has left Ian Patrick Donoghue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 31/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f150y Goo 16131/05C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-31KilbegganMr J Dunne?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/202610th10/147%0%-0.47