4

Staton

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Down Royal · SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m 190y

#14

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★ Timeform

Commentary

Down the field in a pair of maiden hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 11.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m4f110y Goo 15826/08C8C8 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 2m5f Gd 16619/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NavanPhilip Byrnes?11th11th0
2026-08-26BellewstownPhilip Byrnes?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +13.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
19/09/202611th125/10%29%+0.29