IvyArcIvyArc
7

Cossatot

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 74

Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f 12623/05C9C9 @ Gulfstream 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 44 · 5f110y 126 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 44 par12/06C9OR 44C8 @ Gulfstream 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 57 · 6f Gd 126 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 57 par26/06C8OR 57C8 @ Gulfstream 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 68 · 6f Gd 125 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 68 par30/08C8OR 68C8 @ Gulfstream 03/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m 125 · below its mark03/10/2026 · OR 78 par3/10C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03GulfstreamMiguel Vasquez?6th6th0
2026-08-30GulfstreamLeonel Reyes?1st1st0
2026-06-26GulfstreamJose Morelos?2nd2nd0
2026-06-12GulfstreamJose Morelos?1st2nd−1
2026-05-23GulfstreamJose Leon?8th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0512/0626/0630/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -15.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
12/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
26/06/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
30/08/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
03/10/20266th5/174%0%-0.74