3
Forty Love
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | Antonio Gallardo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | Cristian Torres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Churchill Downs | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Oaklawn Park | Cristian Torres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oaklawn Park | Amir Mendoza | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Oaklawn Park | Walter De La Cruz | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |