3
Khozalite
3yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 11 - Showing Up Stakes · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | Leonel Reyes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | Yolber Torres | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Gulfstream | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Gulfstream | Edgard Zayas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 31/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 07/09/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 11/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |