Turf Star
3yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 96
Gulfstream · Race 11 - Showing Up Stakes · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | Ben Curtis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | Dylan Davis | ? | 10th | 5th | +4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | John Velazquez | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-01-31 | Gulfstream | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 31/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 21/03/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |