6
Deuxieme Chance
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6 · OR 59
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | Samuel Marin | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | Yolber Torres | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 62/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 18/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 07/02/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 14/03/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 18% | -0.61 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 11/10/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |