3
Emerging Leader
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Gulfstream | Pedro Jr Monterrey | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 33% | -0.61 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/10/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |