8
Freedom Street
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 69
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/10/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |