2
Leo's Rocket
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | Luis Fuenmayor | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | Yolber Torres | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 29/01/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |