Scottie Too Hottie
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 60
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Monmouth Park | Carlos Rojas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | Jose Gomez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Gulfstream | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Gulfstream | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Gulfstream | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 82% | -0.10 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |