Value Inthe Clouds
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 74
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Gulfstream | Carlos Martinez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Gulfstream | Edgar Perez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | Edgard Zayas | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 11/10/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |