4
Fifteen Hundred R
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Gulfstream | Jonathan Santos | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | Sonny Leon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | Ubardo Casique | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 28/03/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 10/10/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 24/10/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |