Rockin Empire

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 62

Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▬

Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.9

Today:

Class gap: +0.6

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-18	Gulfstream	Samuel Jr Camacho	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-09-06	Colonial Downs	Cipriano Gil	?	9th	9th	0	1.0
2026-07-12	Gulfstream	Samuel Jr Camacho	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-06-28	Colonial Downs	Ismerio Villalobos	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 62/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength2%

Delivery trend -13.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
28/06/2026	8th	33/1	0%	13%	+0.13
12/07/2026	2nd	12/1	37%	83%	+0.46
06/09/2026	9th	25/1	0%	27%	+0.27
18/09/2026	6th	14/1	26%	0%	-0.26