1
Blue Slide Park
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 1 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | Cipriano Gil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 10/10/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |