Brooklyn Guy
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 2 · OR 81
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 16/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/10/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |