6
Brother Brad
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gulfstream | Heriberto Figueroa | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | Heriberto Figueroa | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | Heriberto Figueroa | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 31/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |