5
Friolento
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 70
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | Samuel Jr Camacho | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 37/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |