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4

Prince David

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 80

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 87 par14/02C8OR 87C8 @ Gulfstream 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Gulfstream 20/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 78 par20/03C8OR 78C8 @ Gulfstream 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 76 · 6f 123 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Gulfstream 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 78 par10/05C8OR 78C8 @ Gulfstream 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Gulfstream 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 85 par13/06C8OR 85C8 @ Gulfstream 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Gulfstream 24/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark24/10/2026 · OR 79 par24/10C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-24GulfstreamAnthony Thomas?4th4th0
2026-07-04GulfstreamAnthony Thomas?2nd2nd0
2026-06-13GulfstreamLuis Fuenmayor?6th6th0
2026-05-22GulfstreamJonathan Ocasio?3rd3rd0
2026-05-10GulfstreamJonathan Ocasio?6th6th0
2026-04-24GulfstreamJonathan Ocasio?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0224/0413/0624/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength80%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
27/02/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
20/03/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
24/04/20262nd25/10%80%+0.80
10/05/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
22/05/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
13/06/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
04/07/20262nd14/126%80%+0.54
24/10/20264th12/137%50%+0.13