3
Wannabeeloved
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 82
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | Rajiv Maragh | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | Rajiv Maragh | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | Rajiv Maragh | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 10/10/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |