Alpenglow
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Keeneland | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | Jose Lezcano | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/10/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |