1

Laila Bella Girl

5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 87

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Colonial Downs 18/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 86 par18/07C5OR 86C5 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 87 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2025 · OR 87 parC6 @ Gulfstream 05/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 83 · 5f 121 · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 83 par5/10C6OR 83C6 @ Gulfstream 08/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 89 parC6 @ Gulfstream 18/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 84 · 5f 120 · below its mark18/12/2025 · OR 84 par18/12C6OR 84C5 @ Gulfstream 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 5f Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 75 parC6 @ Gulfstream 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f 124 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 78 par3/08C6OR 78C6 @ Gulfstream 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 83 parC6 @ Gulfstream 27/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 87 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark27/09/2026 · OR 87 par27/09C6OR 87projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27GulfstreamDiego Herrera?4th4th0
2026-08-31GulfstreamLeonel Reyes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-03GulfstreamLeonel Reyes?4th4th0
2026-07-03GulfstreamLeonel Reyes?1st0th+1
2025-12-18GulfstreamTyler Gaffalione?7th7th0
2025-11-08GulfstreamEdwin Gonzalez?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/078/113/0827/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20252nd15/261%80%+0.19
03/09/20255th12/137%43%+0.06
05/10/20252nd16/116%83%+0.68
08/11/20259th9/153%0%-0.53
18/12/20257th9/153%0%-0.53
03/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
03/08/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
31/08/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
27/09/20264th11/271%63%-0.09