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9

Neodera

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 89

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

38%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 12/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 76 par12/07C6OR 76C6 @ Gulfstream 05/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 85 · 5f 118 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 85 parC6 @ Gulfstream 21/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 87 · 5f110y 118 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 87 par21/11C6OR 87C8 @ Gulfstream 12/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 81 parC7 @ Gulfstream 15/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 81 · 5f Fas 123 · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 81 par15/01C7OR 81C8 @ Gulfstream 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Gulfstream 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 72 · 5f Fm 126 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 72 par1/08C7OR 72C6 @ Gulfstream 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 5f Fm 124 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 75 parC6 @ Gulfstream 27/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 85 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark27/09/2026 · OR 85 par27/09C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27GulfstreamEdgar Perez?3rd3rd0
2026-08-31GulfstreamEdgar Perez?1st1st0
2026-08-01GulfstreamEdgar Perez?1st2nd−1
2026-02-19GulfstreamJoe Bravo?2nd4th−2
2026-01-15GulfstreamMario Gutierrez?6th7th−1
2025-12-12GulfstreamEmisael Jaramillo?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0712/121/0827/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength71%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
05/10/20256th9/153%17%-0.36
21/11/20256th12/137%0%-0.37
12/12/20251st1/398%100%+0.02
15/01/20266th4/179%0%-0.79
19/02/20262nd6/492%80%-0.12
01/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
31/08/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
27/09/20263rd5/493%75%-0.18