4

Take Charge Boo

5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 78

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f Fas 12515/08C9C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 57 · 6f 125 · beat its mark01/09/2025 · OR 57 par1/09C9OR 57C7 @ Penn National 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 5f 122 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 62 par21/05C7OR 62C7 @ Delaware Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 60 · 6f 125 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 60 par20/06C7OR 60C5 @ Penn National 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 73 par31/07C5OR 73C5 @ Penn National 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 79 · 5f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 79 par18/08C5OR 79C5 @ Laurel Park 25/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/09/2026 · OR 82 par25/09C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Laurel ParkAngel Cruz?5th4th+1
2026-08-18Penn NationalAngel Cruz?2nd1st+1
2026-07-31Penn NationalWesley Ho?5th4th+1
2026-06-20Delaware ParkWesley Ho?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-21Penn NationalWesley Ho?1st2nd−1
2025-09-01Presque Isle DownsDavid Delgado?1st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0820/0625/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -8.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20252nd14/126%86%+0.59
01/09/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
21/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
20/06/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
31/07/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
18/08/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
25/09/20265th9/153%33%-0.19