Heracles

2yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 90

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Armed Forces Stakes · 1m

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▬ RUNS TO MARK

Move▼1

Strength20%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C3.6

Today:

Class gap: +0.9

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-04	Keeneland	Luis Saez	?	9th	4th	+4	5.9
2026-09-07	Colonial Downs	Paco Lopez	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-04	Gulfstream	Miguel Vasquez	?	1st	3rd	−2	7.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 26/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength58%

Delivery trend -20.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
04/07/2026	1st	10/1	47%	100%	+0.53
07/09/2026	3rd	11/4	86%	67%	-0.19
04/10/2026	9th	20/1	0%	11%	+0.11