8
Lord Henry
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Armed Forces Stakes · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-3 · tight 73/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 26/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |