2
Megaplumb
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Armed Forces Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Gulfstream | Pedro Pena | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength7%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |