9
Mitzman
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Armed Forces Stakes · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +23.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |