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5

Palingo

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 80

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Armed Forces Stakes · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f110y Fm 1204/07C6C6 @ Gulfstream 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 89 · 7f110y Fm 120 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 89 par2/08C6OR 89C6 @ Gulfstream 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 83 · 1m 120 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 83 par30/08C6OR 83projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30GulfstreamDiego Herrera?1st3rd−2
2026-08-02GulfstreamDiego Herrera?3rd5th−2
2026-07-04GulfstreamDiego Herrera?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/072/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +19.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20263rd15/890%67%-0.23
02/08/20263rd13/891%67%-0.25
30/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16