7
Java Buzz
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | Diego Herrera | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | Pedro Pena | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | Pedro Pena | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/10/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |