2
Maitre D
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 2 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Gulfstream | Jonathan Santos | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | Miguel Vasquez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 10/10/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |