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9

Geaux Amy

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 87

Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

64%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 25/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark25/01/2026 · OR 80 par25/01C8OR 80C8 @ Gulfstream 21/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m70y Fas 121 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Gulfstream 21/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 78 par21/03C8OR 78C8 @ Gulfstream 23/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 5f110y 121 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Gulfstream 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 66 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 66 par3/05C8OR 66C8 @ Gulfstream 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 66 · 7f 121 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Gulfstream 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 78 par3/07C8OR 78C8 @ Gulfstream 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fm 124 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Gulfstream 03/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 81 · 1m110y 123 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 81 par3/10C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03GulfstreamEdwin Gonzalez?1st3rd−2
2026-07-11GulfstreamEdwin Gonzalez?1st3rd−2
2026-07-03GulfstreamPedro Pena?2nd4th−2
2026-06-06GulfstreamAnthony Thomas?1st3rd−2
2026-05-03GulfstreamAnthony Thomas?4th6th−2
2026-04-23GulfstreamAnthony Thomas?7th9th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0123/043/073/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength30%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20264th3/184%50%-0.34
21/02/20268th9/488%0%-0.88
21/03/202611th25/10%0%0.00
23/04/20267th40/10%0%0.00
03/05/20264th12/137%25%-0.12
06/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
03/07/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06
11/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
03/10/20261st2/189%100%+0.11