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Super Sienna

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 89

Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

35%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 03/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f110y 1203/10C6C5 @ Gulfstream 30/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 85 · 1m110y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/10/2026 · OR 85 par30/10C5OR 85projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-30GulfstreamEdgar Perez?1st0th+1
2026-10-03GulfstreamDiego Herrera?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1030/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +162.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20266th4/179%17%-0.62
30/10/20261st25/10%100%+1.00