9
Eunomia
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 102
Keeneland · Race 10 - Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff - Grade 1 · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | Micah Husbands | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | Sahin Civaci | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keeneland | Flavien Prat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Colonial Downs | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | Daniel Centeno | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 17% | -0.74 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |