7
Super Corredora
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 87
Keeneland · Race 10 - Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff - Grade 1 · 1m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Santa Anita | Joel Rosario | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | Hector Berrios | ? | 6th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Santa Anita | Hector Berrios | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Del Mar | Hector Berrios | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Santa Anita | Hector Berrios | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2025-08-09 | Del Mar | Hector Berrios | ? | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 42/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 27/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |