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12

Diamond Necklace

3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 12 · OR 120

Keeneland · Race 11 - Longines Breeders' Cup Turf - Grade 1 · 1m 4f

#10

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Began her career winning first 6 races, 4 of them Group 1s, the latest of which was the Nassau at Goodwood in July. Placed last 2 starts, beaten just 1½ lengths into third behind Daryz in Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp last time. Big shout.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Curragh 09/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 1239/08C?1 @ Leopardstown 13/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128C0 @ ParisLongchamp 05/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 1235/10C?1 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 113 · 7f209y Sft 125 · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Chantilly 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 113 · 1m2f96y Sft 125 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 113 par14/061OR 1131 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 115 · 1m1f197y Goo 126 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 120 · 1m1f207y Sft 123 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 120 par23/081OR 1201 @ ParisLongchamp 04/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 120 · 1m3f204y GS 121 · beat its mark04/10/2026 · OR 120 par4/101OR 120projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04ParisLongchampC Soumillon13rd3rd0
2026-08-23DeauvilleR L Moore12nd2nd0
2026-07-30GoodwoodR L Moore11st1st0
2026-06-14ChantillyR L Moore11st1st0
2026-05-10ParisLongchampR L Moore11st1st0
2025-10-05ParisLongchampC Soumillon?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0810/0523/084/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
13/09/20251st1/297%100%+0.03
05/10/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
10/05/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
14/06/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
30/07/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
23/08/20262nd2/999%89%-0.10
04/10/20263rd10/147%87%+0.39