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Map Of Stars

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 15 · OR 113

Keeneland · Race 11 - Longines Breeders' Cup Turf - Grade 1 · 1m 4f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a couple of minor pattern races in France last year and ran creditably in defeat at the top level later in the season. Sole success this year came in Wolferton at Royal Ascot in June. Respectable neck second of 8 to Wimbledon Hawkeye in Group 3 Prix Gontaut-Biron at Deauville last time. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Saint-Cloud 16/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12516/03C1C0 @ ParisLongchamp 06/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 125C0 @ ParisLongchamp 27/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12827/04C?1 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 118 · 1m1f212y Goo 128 · below its mark18/06/2025 · OR 118 parC0 @ ParisLongchamp 07/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 118 · 1m3f204y Sft 128 · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 118 par7/09C?OR 1181 @ ParisLongchamp 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 118 · 1m3f204y GS 125 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 118 par1 @ ParisLongchamp 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 118 · 1m3f204y Ver 125 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 118 par3/051OR 1181 @ Royal Ascot 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 113 · 1m1f212y GF 131 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 113 · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 113 par15/081OR 113projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15DeauvilleJames Doyle12nd3rd−0
2026-06-16Royal AscotJames McDonald11st2nd−1
2026-05-03ParisLongchampJames Doyle15th6th−0
2026-04-12ParisLongchampJames Doyle13rd4th−1
2025-09-07ParisLongchampJames Doyle?7th7th−0
2025-06-18Royal AscotJames Doyle14th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0318/063/0515/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
06/04/20251st4/998%100%+0.02
27/04/20252nd6/594%80%-0.14
18/06/20254th13/266%57%-0.09
07/09/20257th15/261%25%-0.36
12/04/20263rd13/891%71%-0.20
03/05/20265th9/488%20%-0.68
16/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
15/08/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04