16
Telescopic
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 16 · OR 107
Keeneland · Race 11 - Longines Breeders' Cup Turf - Grade 1 · 1m 4f
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -4.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Churchill Downs | Axel Concepcion | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | Luis Saez | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-07-17 | Ellis Park | Axel Concepcion | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-06-19 | Churchill Downs | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-05-24 | Churchill Downs | Mario Gutierrez | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-04-25 | Churchill Downs | Luis Saez | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 21/11/2024 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/09/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |