8
Test Score
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 117
Keeneland · Race 11 - Longines Breeders' Cup Turf - Grade 1 · 1m 4f
#15
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | Juan Hernandez | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | Manuel Franco | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | Manuel Franco | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Del Mar | Juan Hernandez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 71% | -0.25 |
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |