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10

Tiffany

6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 129

Keeneland · Race 11 - Longines Breeders' Cup Turf - Grade 1 · 1m 4f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A remarkably well-travelled mare who has maintained her form, even in races outside of her own sex. Opened her account at this level when winning the Preis von Berlin at Hoppegarten in August and followed up in Grade 2 Turf Cup at Kentucky Downs from Ethical Diamond the following month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 17/07/2023 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 72 · 1m2f Gd 132 · beat its mark17/07/2023 · OR 72 par17/075OR 724 @ Newcastle 29/07/2023 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 76 · 1m2f42y Std 129 · beat its mark29/07/2023 · OR 76 par2 @ Windsor 17/08/2023 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 84 · 1m2f GF 114 · beat its mark17/08/2023 · OR 84 par17/082OR 841 @ Newcastle 28/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 109 · 1m2f42y Sta 133 · beat its mark28/06/2024 · OR 109 par1 @ Haydock 06/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 109 · 1m3f175y Gd 133 · beat its mark06/07/2024 · OR 109 par6/071OR 1091 @ Ascot 19/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 109 · 1m3f133y Sft 133 · beat its mark19/10/2024 · OR 109 parC1 @ Chantilly 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 112 · 1m3f204y Sft 125 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 112 par14/06C1OR 1121 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 112 · 1m4f GF 133 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 112 parC0 @ Kentucky Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 112 · 1m4f 123 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 112 par5/09C?OR 112projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Kentucky DownsL Morris?1st1st−0
2026-07-04NewmarketL Morris12nd2nd−0
2026-06-14ChantillyL Morris?2nd3rd−1
2024-10-19AscotL Morris13rd3rd0
2024-07-06HaydockL Morris12nd2nd−0
2024-06-28NewcastleL Morris11st2nd−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0728/0614/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength59%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20231st9/488%100%+0.12
29/07/20231st1/195%100%+0.05
17/08/20232nd9/276%91%+0.15
28/06/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
06/07/20242nd85/4089%86%-0.03
19/10/20243rd13/266%85%+0.19
14/06/20262nd11/486%91%+0.05
04/07/20262nd5/493%88%-0.06
05/09/20261st11/271%100%+0.29