IvyArcIvyArc
5

Forever Young

5yo Horse · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 121

Keeneland · Race 12 - Longines Breeders' Cup Classic - Grade 1 · 1m 2f

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Reigning champ has proven himself a versatile, high-class horse. Won the Saudi Cup for the second time earlier this year before finishing runner-up in the Dubai World Cup. Shipped back to the US to score in the 4-runner Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont in September and looks sure to go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meydan 30/03/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 113 · 1m1f Fas 121 · beat its mark30/03/2024 · OR 113 par30/03C?OR 113C0 @ Churchill Downs 04/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR 113 · 1m2f Slo 126 · beat its mark04/05/2024 · OR 113 par4/05C?OR 113C0 @ Del Mar 02/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 121 · 1m2f Fas 122 · beat its mark02/11/2024 · OR 121 par2/11C?OR 121C0 @ Meydan 05/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 121 · 1m2f Fas 126 · beat its mark05/04/2025 · OR 121 par5/04C?OR 121C0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 118 · 1m2f Fas 126 · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 118 par1/11C?OR 118C0 @ Meydan 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 128 · 1m2f Fas 126 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 128 par28/03C?OR 128C0 @ Belmont Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 119 · 1m2f Fas 126 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 119 par18/09C?OR 119projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Belmont ParkRyusei Sakai?1st1st0
2026-03-28MeydanRyusei Sakai?2nd2nd0
2025-11-01Del MarRyusei Sakai?1st1st0
2025-04-05MeydanRyusei Sakai?3rd3rd0
2024-11-02Del MarRyusei Sakai?3rd3rd0
2024-05-04Churchill DownsRyusei Sakai?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/035/0418/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength85%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20241st8/1196%100%+0.04
04/05/20243rd13/266%89%+0.24
02/11/20243rd4/179%85%+0.06
05/04/20253rd4/998%80%-0.18
01/11/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
28/03/20262nd8/1196%88%-0.09
18/09/20261st1/297%100%+0.03