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Golden Tempo

3yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 109

Keeneland · Race 12 - Longines Breeders' Cup Classic - Grade 1 · 1m 2f

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Very smart colt who followed in Sovereignty's footsteps from last year by winning the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs and Belmont at Saratoga. Only third in the Travers at Saratoga in August but Ortiz prefers him to Magnitude and he should get a good pace to aim at.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fair Grounds 20/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 12020/12C6C1 @ Fair Grounds 18/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 98 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark18/01/2026 · OR 98 par18/01C1OR 98C0 @ Fair Grounds 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 96 · 1m1f Fas 122 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 96 par14/02C?OR 96C0 @ Fair Grounds 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 98 · 1m1f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 98 par21/03C?OR 98C0 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 96 · 1m2f Fas 126 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 96 par2/05C?OR 96C0 @ Saratoga 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 100 · 1m2f 126 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 100 par6/06C?OR 100C0 @ Saratoga 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 104 · 1m2f Fas 126 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 104 par29/08C?OR 104projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29SaratogaJose Ortiz?3rd3rd0
2026-06-06SaratogaJose Ortiz?1st1st0
2026-05-02Churchill DownsJose Ortiz?1st1st0
2026-03-21Fair GroundsJose Ortiz?3rd3rd−0
2026-02-14Fair GroundsJose Ortiz?3rd3rd−0
2026-01-18Fair GroundsJose Ortiz?1st2nd−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1221/0329/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
18/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
14/02/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
21/03/20263rd7/282%75%-0.07
02/05/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
06/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
29/08/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04