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Knightsbridge

5yo Horse · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 113

Keeneland · Race 12 - Longines Breeders' Cup Classic - Grade 1 · 1m 2f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

39%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Typically for one from this stable, has been allowed plenty of time to climb the ranks, winning 4 of his 6 starts this year. Tried his hand at this trip for the first time when routing the field in Pacific Classic at Del Mar by 6¼ lengths from Original Sin in August.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 15/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 113 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 113 par15/02C6OR 113C6 @ Aqueduct 22/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 112 · 7f 120 · beat its mark22/11/2025 · OR 112 parC1 @ Gulfstream 27/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 116 · 7f Fas 120 · beat its mark27/12/2025 · OR 116 par27/12C1OR 116C1 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 114 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark24/01/2026 · OR 114 parC1 @ Gulfstream 28/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 112 · 1m Fas 125 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 112 par28/02C1OR 112C0 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 115 · 7f Fas 123 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 115 parC1 @ Saratoga 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m 1216/06C1C1 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 111 · 1m1f Fas 124 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 111 parC0 @ Del Mar 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 112 · 1m2f Fas 124 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 112 par23/08C?OR 112projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Del MarJunior Alvarado?1st1st0
2026-07-18Monmouth ParkFlavien Prat?1st2nd−0
2026-06-06SaratogaJunior Alvarado?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-02Churchill DownsJunior Alvarado?6th6th0
2026-02-28GulfstreamJunior Alvarado?1st2nd−0
2026-01-24GulfstreamJunior Alvarado?1st2nd−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0224/016/0623/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/20252nd4/1198%86%-0.12
22/11/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
27/12/20251st2/1199%100%+0.01
24/01/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
28/02/20261st1/699%100%+0.01
02/05/20266th5/493%50%-0.43
06/06/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
18/07/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
23/08/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05