8
Napoleon Solo
3yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 108
Keeneland · Race 12 - Longines Breeders' Cup Classic - Grade 1 · 1m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | John Velazquez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | Paco Lopez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | Paco Lopez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | Paco Lopez | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | Joel Rosario | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |